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A blog on financial markets and their regulation
Richard Bookstaber says in an interview yesterday that it is not difficult to detect systemic risk – the hard part is to take useful action against it:
But I don’t think systemic risk is hard; at least monitoring systemic risk is not difficult. Nobody can hide risk of that magnitude. It’s there to be seen. As I already mentioned, it is taking action that is difficult.
I entirely agree with this assessment. For example, in Indian banking (and many other parts of the financial sector), it is not at all difficult to see that infrastructure finance is a big systemic risk:
In short, it is the classic tail risk mitigated by the high likelihood of a sovereign bailout. It is simply not in the interest of anybody (lender, borrower, regulator or government) to do anything about it.